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Brain, Vol. 116, No. 1, 117-134, 1993
© 1993 Oxford University Press


research-article

Prognostic factors in a multiple sclerosis incidence cohort with twenty-five years of follow-up

Björn Runmarker and Oluf Andersen

Department of Neurology, Sahlgren's Hospital Göteborg, Sweden

Correspondence to: Correspondence to: Björn Runmarker, Department of Neurology, Sahlgren's Hospital, S-413 45 Goteborg, Sweden.

An incidence cohort consisting of 308 multiple sclerosis patients was followed up repeatedly during at least 25 years of disease. A number of clinical factors were analysed with respect to their validity in assessing the long-term prognosis. Of the onset characteristics, the type of course was the most important, with primary progressive patients experiencing a much more severe course. In patients with an acute onset, low onset age, high degree of remission at first exacerbation, symptoms from afferent nerve fibres and onset symptoms from only one region (as compared with polyregional symptoms) of the central nervous system, were factors significantly associated with a favourable long-term prognosis. Of factors known 5 years after onset, a low number of affected neurological systems, a low neurological deficit score and a high degree of remission from the last bout were the most important favourable prognostic factors.

Received February 11, 1992. Revised April 24, 1992. Accepted July 16, 1992.


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J. Neurol. Neurosurg. PsychiatryHome page
C. Liu and L. D Blumhardt
Randomised, double blind, placebo controlled study of interferon beta -1a in relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis analysed by area under disability/time curves
J. Neurol. Neurosurg. Psychiatry, October 1, 1999; 67(4): 451 - 456.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


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BrainHome page
M. Kremenchutzky, D. Cottrell, G. Rice, W. Hader, J. Baskerville, W. Koopman, and G. C. Ebers
The natural history of multiple sclerosis: a geographically based study: 7. Progressive-relapsing and relapsing-progressive multiple sclerosis: a re-evaluation
Brain, October 1, 1999; 122(10): 1941 - 1950.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


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J. Neurol. Neurosurg. PsychiatryHome page
W I McDonald
Physicians, subsequence and consequence
J. Neurol. Neurosurg. Psychiatry, September 1, 1999; 67(3): 282 - 289.
[Full Text]


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Arch NeurolHome page
P. B. Andersson, E. Waubant, L. Gee, and D. E. Goodkin
Multiple Sclerosis That Is Progressive From the Time of Onset: Clinical Characteristics and Progression of Disability
Arch Neurol, September 1, 1999; 56(9): 1138 - 1142.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


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J. Neurol. Neurosurg. PsychiatryHome page
A J THOMPSON
Benign multiple sclerosis
J. Neurol. Neurosurg. Psychiatry, August 1, 1999; 67(2): 138 - 138.
[Full Text] [PDF]


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J. Neurol. Neurosurg. PsychiatryHome page
S A Hawkins and G V McDonnell
Benign multiple sclerosis? Clinical course, long term follow up, and assessment of prognostic factors
J. Neurol. Neurosurg. Psychiatry, August 1, 1999; 67(2): 148 - 152.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


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Mult SclerHome page
B. G Weinshenker
Databases in MS research: pitfalls and promises
Multiple Sclerosis, August 1, 1999; 5(4): 206 - 211.
[Abstract] [PDF]


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Mult SclerHome page
C Confavreux, S Vukusic, J Grimaud, and T Moreau
Clinical progression and decision making process in multiple sclerosis
Multiple Sclerosis, August 1, 1999; 5(4): 212 - 215.
[PDF]


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Mult SclerHome page
V L Stevenson and D H Miller
Magnetic resonance imaging in the monitoring of disease progression in multiple sclerosis
Multiple Sclerosis, August 1, 1999; 5(4): 268 - 272.
[Abstract] [PDF]


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NeurologyHome page
T. L. Sorensen, J. L. Frederiksen, H. Bronnum-Hansen, and H. C. Petersen
Optic neuritis as onset manifestation of multiple sclerosis: A nationwide, long-term survey
Neurology, August 1, 1999; 53(3): 473 - 473.
[Abstract] [Full Text]


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Mult SclerHome page
Z M Levic, I Dujmovic, T Pekmezovic, M Jarebinski, J Marinkovic, N Stojsavljevic, and J Drulovic
Prognostic factors for survival in multiple sclerosis
Multiple Sclerosis, June 1, 1999; 5(3): 171 - 178.
[Abstract] [PDF]


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Mult SclerHome page
D W Langdon and A J Thompson
Multiple sclerosis: a preliminary study of selected variables affecting rehabilitation outcome
Multiple Sclerosis, April 1, 1999; 5(2): 94 - 100.
[Abstract] [PDF]


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Mult SclerHome page
M Spadaro, M A Amendolea, M G Mazzucconi, R Fantozzi, R Di Lello, P Zangari, and C Masala
Autoimmunity in multiple sclerosis: study of a wide spectrum of autoantibodies
Multiple Sclerosis, April 1, 1999; 5(2): 121 - 125.
[Abstract] [PDF]


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BrainHome page
P. Rudge
The value of natural history studies of multiple sclerosis
Brain, April 1, 1999; 122(4): 591 - 592.
[Full Text] [PDF]


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BrainHome page
D. A. Cottrell, M. Kremenchutzky, G. P. A. Rice, W. J. Koopman, W. Hader, J. Baskerville, and G. C. Ebers
The natural history of multiple sclerosis:a geographically based study: 5. The clinical features and natural history of primary progressive multiple sclerosis
Brain, April 1, 1999; 122(4): 625 - 639.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


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J. Neurol. Neurosurg. PsychiatryHome page
C. Liu, S. Edwards, Q. Gong, N. Roberts, and L. D Blumhardt
Three dimensional MRI estimates of brain and spinal cord atrophy in multiple sclerosis
J. Neurol. Neurosurg. Psychiatry, March 1, 1999; 66(3): 323 - 330.
[Abstract] [Full Text]


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NeurologyHome page
V. L. Stevenson, D. H. Miller, M. Rovaris, F. Barkhof, B. Brochet, V. Dousset, V. Dousset, M. Filippi, X. Montalban, C. H. Polman, et al.
Primary and transitional progressive MS: A clinical and MRI cross-sectional study
Neurology, March 1, 1999; 52(4): 839 - 839.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


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Mult SclerHome page
C Liu and L D Blumhardt
Assessing relapses in treatment trials of relapsing and remitting multiple sclerosis: can we do better?
Multiple Sclerosis, February 1, 1999; 5(1): 022 - 27.
[Abstract] [PDF]


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Mult SclerHome page
C. C. Whitacre
Summary and Future Directions
Multiple Sclerosis, December 1, 1998; 4(6): 516 - 518.
[PDF]


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JAMAHome page
R. A. Rudick
A 29-Year-Old Man With Multiple Sclerosis
JAMA, October 28, 1998; 280(16): 1432 - 1439.
[Full Text] [PDF]


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J. Neurol. Neurosurg. PsychiatryHome page
C. Liu, A. L. W. Po, and L. D Blumhardt
"Summary measure" statistic for assessing the outcome of treatment trials in relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis
J. Neurol. Neurosurg. Psychiatry, June 1, 1998; 64(6): 726 - 729.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


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J. Neurol. Neurosurg. PsychiatryHome page
N Tubridy, H J Ader, F Barkhof, A J Thompson, and D H Miller
Exploratory treatment trials in multiple sclerosis using MRI: sample size calculations for relapsing-remitting and secondary progressive subgroups using placebo controlled parallel groups
J. Neurol. Neurosurg. Psychiatry, January 1, 1998; 64(1): 50 - 55.
[Abstract] [Full Text]


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NEJMHome page
R. A. Rudick, J. A. Cohen, B. Weinstock-Guttman, R. P. Kinkel, and R. M. Ransohoff
Management of Multiple Sclerosis
N. Engl. J. Med., November 27, 1997; 337(22): 1604 - 1611.
[Full Text] [PDF]


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Mult SclerHome page
A. Ghezzi, V. Deplano, J. Faroni, M. Grasso, M. Liguori, G. Marrosu, C. Pozzilli, I. Simone, and M. Zaffaroni
Multiple sclerosis in childhood: clinical features of 149 cases
Multiple Sclerosis, February 1, 1997; 3(1): 43 - 46.
[Abstract] [PDF]



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