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Brain, Vol. 112, No. 1, 133-146, 1989
© 1989 Oxford University Press


research-article

THE NATURAL HISTORY OF MULTIPLE SCLEROSIS: A GEOGRAPHICALLY BASED STUDY

I. CLINICAL COURSE AND DISABILITY

B. G. WEINSHENKER, B. BASS, G. P. A. RICE, J. NOSEWORTHY, W. CARRIERE, J. BASKERVILLE and G. C. EBERS

Department of Clinical Neurological Sciences, University of Western Ontario London, Ontario, Canada

Correspondence to: Correspondence to: Dr G. C. Ebers, Department of Clinical Neurological Sciences, University Hospital, PO Box 5339, London, Ontario N6A 5A5, Canada

The outcome of multiple sclerosis (MS), assessed according to the Kurtzke Disability Status Scale (DSS), was reviewed in 1,099 consecutive patients followed in London, Canada, between 1972 and 1984. A geographically based subgroup of 196 patients representing 90% of Middlesex County MS patients as well as a group of 197 patients seen from onset of disease were separately analysed. The clinical course was progressive from onset in 33% of the total population and in 28% of the Middlesex County subgroup Of those with duration of 6–10 yrs, 30–40% with initially remitting disease developed progressive MS. The cross-sectional distribution of disability was bimodal with peaks at DSS 1 (no disability) and DSS 6 (assistance required for walking). Actuarial analysis showed that the median time to reach DSS 6 from onset of MS was 14.97±0.31 yrs in the total population and 9.42±0.44 yrs in the ‘seen from onset’ subgroup Survival was minimally altered; 87% of patients followed up to 40 yrs were still alive, although ascertainment of cases with this duration of MS was incomplete Data describing the rate at which disability develops after the onset of a progressive phase of MS are also presented. The implications of these data in planning and interpretation of clinical therapeutic trials are discussed.

Received January 12, 1988. Revised May 10, 1988. Accepted June 1, 1988.


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Insight into Multiple Sclerosis
Clin. Med. Res., February 1, 2005; 3(1): 41 - 44.
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NeurologyHome page
B. A. Cohen, O. Khan, D. R. Jeffery, K. Bashir, S. A. Rizvi, E. J. Fox, M. Agius, R. Bashir, T. E. Collins, R. Herndon, et al.
Identifying and treating patients with suboptimal responses
Neurology, December 28, 2004; 63(12_suppl_6): S33 - S40.
[Abstract] [Full Text]


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NeurologyHome page
W. H. Stuart
Current clinical perspectives on the treatment of multiple sclerosis
Neurology, December 14, 2004; 63(11_suppl_5): S1 - S2.
[Full Text]


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NeurologyHome page
W. H. Stuart and P. Vermersch
Concomitant therapy for multiple sclerosis
Neurology, December 14, 2004; 63(11_suppl_5): S28 - S34.
[Abstract] [Full Text]


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NeurologyHome page
J. A. Cohen and J. P. Antel
Does interferon beta help in secondary progressive MS?
Neurology, November 23, 2004; 63(10): 1768 - 1769.
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Arch NeurolHome page
Optic Neuritis Study Group
Neurologic Impairment 10 Years After Optic Neuritis
Arch Neurol, September 1, 2004; 61(9): 1386 - 1389.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


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Mult SclerHome page
M J Tullman, R J Oshinsky, F D Lublin, and G R Cutter
Clinical characteristics of progressive relapsing multiple sclerosis
Multiple Sclerosis, August 1, 2004; 10(4): 451 - 454.
[Abstract] [PDF]


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Mult SclerHome page
G. C Ebers
Natural history of primary progressive multiple sclerosis
Multiple Sclerosis, June 1, 2004; 10(1_suppl): S8 - S15.
[Abstract] [PDF]


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Mult SclerHome page
O. Stuve, M. Kita, D. Pelletier, R. J Fox, J. Stone, D. E Goodkin, and S. S Zamvil
Mitoxantrone as a potential therapy for primary progressive multiple sclerosis
Multiple Sclerosis, June 1, 2004; 10(1_suppl): S58 - S61.
[Abstract] [PDF]


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J. Neurol. Neurosurg. PsychiatryHome page
P Sundstrom, A Svenningsson, L Nystrom, and L Forsgren
Clinical characteristics of multiple sclerosis in Vasterbotten County in northern Sweden
J. Neurol. Neurosurg. Psychiatry, May 1, 2004; 75(5): 711 - 716.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


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Arch NeurolHome page
S. J. Pittock, W. T. Mayr, R. L. McClelland, N. W. Jorgensen, S. D. Weigand, J. H. Noseworthy, and M. Rodriguez
Quality of Life Is Favorable for Most Patients With Multiple Sclerosis: A Population-based Cohort Study
Arch Neurol, May 1, 2004; 61(5): 679 - 686.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


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Mult SclerHome page
G. C Ebers
Natural history of primary progressive multiple sclerosis
Multiple Sclerosis, May 1, 2004; 10(3_suppl): S8 - S15.
[Abstract] [PDF]


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Mult SclerHome page
O. Stuve, M. Kita, D. Pelletier, R. J Fox, J. Stone, D. E Goodkin, and S. S Zamvil
Mitoxantrone as a potential therapy for primary progressive multiple sclerosis
Multiple Sclerosis, May 1, 2004; 10(3_suppl): S58 - S61.
[Abstract] [PDF]


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Mult SclerHome page
A Romberg, A Virtanen, S Aunola, S-L Karppi, H Karanko, and J Ruutiainen
Exercise capacity, disability and leisure physical activity of subjects with multiple sclerosis
Multiple Sclerosis, April 1, 2004; 10(2): 212 - 218.
[Abstract] [PDF]


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BrainHome page
H. Bronnum-Hansen, N. Koch-Henriksen, and E. Stenager
Trends in survival and cause of death in Danish patients with multiple sclerosis
Brain, April 1, 2004; 127(4): 844 - 850.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


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NeurologyHome page
S. J. Pittock, W. T. Mayr, R. L. McClelland, N. W. Jorgensen, S. D. Weigand, J. H. Noseworthy, and M. Rodriguez
Disability profile of MS did not change over 10 years in a population-based prevalence cohort
Neurology, February 24, 2004; 62(4): 601 - 606.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


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Mult SclerHome page
J de Seze, C Lebrun, T Stojkovic, D Ferriby, M Chatel, and P Vermersch
Is Devic's neuromyelitis optica a separate disease? A comparative study with multiple sclerosis
Multiple Sclerosis, October 1, 2003; 9(5): 521 - 525.
[Abstract] [PDF]


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BloodHome page
R. A. Nash, J. D. Bowen, P. A. McSweeney, S. Z. Pavletic, K. R. Maravilla, M.-s. Park, J. Storek, K. M. Sullivan, J. Al-Omaishi, J. R. Corboy, et al.
High-dose immunosuppressive therapy and autologous peripheral blood stem cell transplantation for severe multiple sclerosis
Blood, October 1, 2003; 102(7): 2364 - 2372.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


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BloodHome page
R. K. Burt, B. A. Cohen, E. Russell, K. Spero, A. Joshi, Y. Oyama, W. J. Karpus, K. Luo, B. Jovanovic, A. Traynor, et al.
Hematopoietic stem cell transplantation for progressive multiple sclerosis: failure of a total body irradiation-based conditioning regimen to prevent disease progression in patients with high disability scores
Blood, October 1, 2003; 102(7): 2373 - 2378.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


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BMJHome page
I A F van der Mei, A-L Ponsonby, T Dwyer, L Blizzard, R Simmons, B V Taylor, H Butzkueven, and T Kilpatrick
Past exposure to sun, skin phenotype, and risk of multiple sclerosis: case-control study
BMJ, August 9, 2003; 327(7410): 316.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


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J. Immunol.Home page
F. Giuliani, C. G. Goodyer, J. P. Antel, and V. W. Yong
Vulnerability of Human Neurons to T Cell-Mediated Cytotoxicity
J. Immunol., July 1, 2003; 171(1): 368 - 379.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


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Mult SclerHome page
J Lechner-Scott, L Kappos, M Hofman, C H Polman, H Ronner, X Montalban, M Tintore, M Frontoni, C Buttinelli, M P Amato, et al.
Can the Expanded Disability Status Scale be assessed by telephone?
Multiple Sclerosis, April 1, 2003; 9(2): 154 - 159.
[Abstract] [PDF]


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Mult SclerHome page
R. Rudick
Mechanisms of disability progression in primary progressive multiple sclerosis: are they different from secondary progressive multiple sclerosis?
Multiple Sclerosis, April 1, 2003; 9(2): 210 - 212.
[PDF]


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BrainHome page
C. Confavreux, S. Vukusic, and P. Adeleine
Early clinical predictors and progression of irreversible disability in multiple sclerosis: an amnesic process
Brain, April 1, 2003; 126(4): 770 - 782.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


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BMJHome page
J. Chilcott, C. McCabe, P. Tappenden, A. O'Hagan, N. J Cooper, K. Abrams, K. Claxton, and D. H Miller
Modelling the cost effectiveness of interferon beta and glatiramer acetate in the management of multiple sclerosis * Commentary: Evaluating disease modifying treatments in multiple sclerosis
BMJ, March 8, 2003; 326(7388): 522 - 522.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


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Mult SclerHome page
B. Turner, X. Lin, G. Calmon, N. Roberts, and L. D Blumhardt
C erebral atrophy and disability in relapsing-remitting and secondary progressive multiple sclerosis over four years
Multiple Sclerosis, February 1, 2003; 9(1): 21 - 27.
[Abstract] [PDF]


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Mult SclerHome page
J. R Avasarala, A. H Cross, D. B Clifford, B. A Singer, B. A Siegel, and E. E Abbey
Rapid onset Mitoxantrone-induced cardiotoxicity in secondary progressive multiple sclerosis
Multiple Sclerosis, February 1, 2003; 9(1): 59 - 62.
[Abstract] [PDF]



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